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forward-testing

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Can past prices predict tomorrow's stock move? Walk-forward tests on SPY, NVDA, AAPL and GOOGL with logistic regression, gradient boosting and an LSTM, against simple baselines and luck. Direction can't be predicted; move size can, a little. Plus a live forward test that commits each day's predictions before the market opens.

  • Updated Nov 8, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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